USD/JPY
US Dollar / Japanese Yen
Our models lean long on USD/JPY with high confidence (77%). The stance is driven by price vs sma20, sma20 vs sma50, ema12 vs price, while risk is classified as LOW with a measured swing horizon. We suggest risking 2% of capital, invalidating below 162.935 and targeting 168.743. This is a transparent, evidence-backed read — not financial advice.
Generated from deterministic analysis — the AI describes, it does not invent numbers.
- technicalPrice vs SMA20: Above — Last 163.8520 vs SMA20 162.4618+0.35
- technicalSMA20 vs SMA50: Bullish stack+0.35
- technicalEMA12 vs Price: Above+0.35
- technicalRSI(14): 50.5 — Neutral zone0.00
- technicalMACD Histogram: 0.08298 — MACD 0.65976 / Signal 0.57678+0.35
- technicalBollinger Position: Upper band-0.30
- technicalStochastic %K(14): 95.3-0.40
- sentimentNews/social sentiment negative (score -0.15)-0.07
- macro5 high-importance macro event(s) pending — expect elevated volatility0.00
- technicalPrice 163.8520 above 200-SMA 157.6639 (established uptrend)0.00
- technical21-EMA above 200-SMA confirms trend alignment0.00
- technicalRSI(14) 50 in the 35–60 pullback zone — buying a dip, not a top0.00
- technicalStop 1.5×ATR away; target 8.0×ATR (breakeven stop after 0.8×ATR in favor)0.00
Technical structure is bullish with 5 bullish vs 2 bearish signals (net score 0.62). RSI(14): Neutral zone. Trend strength: Strong trend. Price sits relative to its moving averages, and momentum (MACD histogram) confirms the bullish bias.
Aggregate news sentiment for USD/JPY reads -0.15 (cautious). 5 high-importance macroeconomic release(s) are scheduled; positioning should account for event-driven volatility and possible gaps.
- Q1 2024 bullish RSI reversalwin85%
RSI 51 with ADX 29 — trend-confirmed structure.
- Trend-stack continuation patternwin72%
Similar EMA stacking preceded a measured move in the dominant direction.